ECL
ECL Insight
Singapore

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IFRS 9 ECL · Q1 2026 · vs Q4 2025 (QoQ)

Documentation
Total ECL (Weighted)
50.97SGD M
Probability-weighted across 4 scenarios · Q1 2026
6.2% QoQ
Coverage Ratio
0.45%
ECL ÷ Outstanding · vs Q4 2025
6.2% QoQ
Stage 2 Rate
18.03%
892 of 4,948 facilities · SICR triggered
+0.36 pp QoQ
Stage 3 Rate
4.32%
214 credit-impaired facilities · NPL
+0.12 pp QoQ
Total Portfolio
11,443SGD M
Gross carrying amount · 4,948 active facilities
0.0% QoQ
Weighted Avg PD (12M)
7.95%
EAD-weighted across portfolio · LGD 41.1%
2.4% QoQ

ECL Trend by Stage

Trailing 8 quarters · Stage-1 / Stage-2 / Stage-3 weighted ECL · FR-DASH-02

Stage Distribution — Balance

IFRS 9 stage 1/2/3 loan counts and ECL · FR-DASH-03

StageFacilitiesOutstanding (M)ECL (M)Coverage
Stage 13,8428,8372.90.03%
Stage 28921,98719.30.97%
Stage 321461928.94.66%
Stage 1
77.6%
Stage 2
18.0%
Stage 3
4.3%

Forward-Looking Scenario Weights

IFRS 9 §5.5.17 · 4-scenario probability weighting · FR-DASH-04

Probability-Weighted ECL
50.97SGD M
Headline
Σ wᵢ × ECLᵢ
Base Casew = 50%
48.22 M
0.00 vs Base
GDP 2.8%
UE 2.2%
HPI 100
Rate 4.00%
Upsidew = 20%
38.58 M
9.64 vs Base
GDP 4.1%
UE 1.8%
HPI 104
Rate 3.80%
Mild Downsidew = 20%
57.86 M
+9.64 vs Base
GDP 1.2%
UE 3.0%
HPI 97
Rate 4.80%
Severe Downsidew = 10%
75.70 M
+27.48 vs Base
GDP -1.8%
UE 4.5%
HPI 88
Rate 6.20%

ECL by Segment

Weighted ECL across the 7 product buckets · FR-DASH-05

Corporate Term Loan SGD
19.36 M
cov 0.31%
Corporate Term Loan FCY
5.07 M
cov 0.21%
HDB Mortgage
6.50 M
cov 1.95%
Private Mortgage
4.24 M
cov 0.65%
Trade Finance LC/BG
9.13 M
cov 0.69%
SME
3.85 M
cov 0.80%
Personal Loans
2.82 M
cov 6.31%

Methodology Note

IFRS 9 §5.5.17 · Forward-Looking Macroeconomic Information

Expected Credit Loss is computed as ECL = PD × LGD × EAD, discounted at the effective interest rate, and probability-weighted across four forward-looking macroeconomic scenarios (Base 50%, Upside 20%, Mild Downside 20%, Severe Downside 10%) in line with IFRS 9 §5.5.17. Macro drivers — GDP growth, unemployment, house-price index and interest rate — are reviewed quarterly by Credit Risk Modelling and approved by the Chief Risk Officer before each ECL run. SICR triggers (DPD > 30, watchlist add, PD-delta > 200bps, forbearance, UTP) are applied per IFRS 9 §B5.5.21. MAS Notice 612 minimum provisioning floors are evaluated alongside the SFRS(I) 9 ECL and any top-up is reported separately.